Basically a deer with a human face. Despite probably being some sort of magical nature spirit, his interests are primarily in technology and politics and science fiction.
Spent many years on Reddit before joining the Threadiverse as well.
Yes, but they’re set up so that the best way to make that money is to make correct “bets” by whatever means. It’s not like a poker game where the best way to make money is to calculate odds and understand the psychology of the other players, it’s specifically “you make money if you know more about the thing being bet on than other participants.”
The goal of prediction markets is to try to surface an “expert” opinion. People who are betting there are presumably deciding their position based on polling data, along with other factors such as how likely they think Orban or others are to cheat the results and how likely events that could change the polling numbers are to occur.
People who decry the “insider trading” that happens in prediction markets are missing that insider trading is exactly the point of something like this. If there’s someone inside Orban’s inner circle who knows something nobody else does that makes them more certain of a particular outcome here, they would be rewarded by making their knowledge “public” by placing bets on the prediction and as a result pushing the odds in some direction based on that knowledge.
There are people who gamble on these markets without any special research or inside knowledge to guide them, just going by their guts, and the goal of prediction markets is that over time these people will lose their money and stop gambling like this. They’re not contributing information and are “punished” for their interference.
Yet another area where the big companies are voluntarily leaving money on the table for the open model users to rake in. I approve.
I haven’t been watching Trek for a long time now, the only recent series I liked was Lower Decks. The Kurtzman stuff just hasn’t been doing anything for me. So I 'm happy that there will be an opportunity for a fresh start. I don’t mind a hiatus because I wasn’t watching anyway.
A classic case of making a ridiculously restrictive change, then “walking it back” to a merely semi-ridiculous change and having everyone sigh in relief.
Fill it with white powder and the reaction will cause more damage than a bomb would have caused.
I mean, do those headcount numbers count contractors?
I linked the source for my information, feel free to dig into it for more detail.
Beyond that, unless you have an actual source for the culture shift beyond ‘you think so’
I literally said I didn’t know whether there had been a culture shift. Reread the last line of my comment. All I’m doing here is pointing out that your own view on the subject is likely very outdated at this point. There’s been enormous employee turnover, including right to the top CEO position, and other major companies have merged into Microsoft in the interim.
I’m willing to bet it is now even worse.
Based on?
I’m not doubting your previous experience. I’m just pointing out that it was a long time ago and a lot has happened since then, so I’d like to hear some more recent evidence.
The Red Ring of Death was around 2009 or so, Windows 8 rolled out in 2012. That was 14 years ago now.
The median tenure of employment at Microsoft is 5.3 years, so most of those 94,000 employees will be long gone by now.
Also, Satya Nadella took over in 2014 and made major changes to the corporate culture from the earlier Balmer era. Stack ranking was abolished, there were major corporate acquisitions that brought external corporate cultures inside (eg LinkedIn, GitHub, ZeniMax/Bethesda, Activision Blizzard, Nokia).
I have no idea what Microsoft’s current internal culture is like but I think your impression is likely quite outdated by this point.
For someone who likes digging around in my Reddit history you’d think you’d be able to find something that was actually relevant to the topic at hand. That was a comment about the uses of agentic coding tools for making custom applications, not about building bots.
The only thing keeping the bot population low here is that there just aren’t enough people here to be worth it yet. If the Fediverse grows they’ll come in greater numbers.
There’s a master “kill switch” for all AI features in Firefox now. I suggest everyone who’s concerned about this kind of thing just go and turn it off, and then we need never bother each other over this again.
And also, people are really spoiled with existing internet speeds. When I joined the Internet it was still relying on telephone modems for much of the connectivity. There’s plenty you can do with that. The Fediverse, right here, is an example - just ordinary text communication.
It actually was the case, in the olden days.
The classic image of St. Bernard rescue dogs carrying tiny barrels of brandy for the benefit of hypothermic travellers was a myth though.
Makes it more fun, though!
It had some technical issues earlier on but it’s up and running right now. Looks pretty active.
It did convey a useful concept, until it started getting used for basically everything to mean “thing that used to be better but I don’t like now.”
It got enshittified.
any content submitted that is clearly labelled as LLM-generated (including issues, merge requests, and merge request descriptions) will be immediately closed
Guess it won’t be labelled, then.
Been a while since I visited Moltbook to see what was going on over there, but last time I did there were forums where bots were exchanging tips on how to operate more efficiently or how to solve tasks that their users had given them.
Let them have their own space.
Sure, but as the market’s resolution date approaches that’s increasingly a gamble. “Suckers” should be harder and hard to find as the outcome becomes more certain. The election’s less than a week away now so I would expect vibe-based participants to be starting to lose their shirts at this point.